Fragile Survival: Why Iran's Regime is Not Stronger

You know, analysts and experts look at the conflict between the United States and Iran and they look at the success the United States has had. Militarily, they’ve done an enormous amount of damage. You’ve seen relationships change in the Gulf, the United States relationships seem to be even stronger, and Iran seems to be on its own. The leadership has been cleaned out, not only the Supreme Leader, but many of the top leaders have been cleaned out there, and yet the regime is still there. Some pundits would tell you it’s even stronger, that their resilience is so strong they may be in a stronger position than they were before February 28th. Is that a correct assessment?

In my view, this assessment is incorrect, because the regime is at its weakest point in the past 48 years. The super-crises that led to the January uprising have not only remained unresolved but have in fact intensified after the war. This assessment overlooks two key realities:

First, the executions in recent weeks demonstrate the regime’s deep concern about defiant youth and resistance units. This reflects the strength of the resistance and the weakness of the regime. As you know, in the past month alone, at least 23 political prisoners have been executed: eight members of the MEK and commanders of resistance units, and also 15 others who were participants in the uprising. Some family members of these martyrs, who sought to retrieve the bodies of their loved ones, have also been arrested.

Finally, the analysis you mentioned underestimates the explosive state of society and the accumulation of public discontent in Iran. The regime has no way out of these crises.

Do not forget that just one year before the fall of the Shah’s dictatorship, some were calling it an “island of stability,” while others claimed Iran was not even in a pre-revolutionary phase. Yet, we saw that contrary to those assessments, the Shah’s dictatorship was rapidly overthrown.

https://www.maryam-rajavi.com/en/washington-times-irans-regime-is-at-its-weakest-point/


Location: United States

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